Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 3?

Platform comparison

Market context

The practical event is the **highest temperature at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport** during the observation window on 3 August, with the result coming from the station’s recorded daily maximum rather than from citywide averages. August is normally Chongqing’s hottest month, with typical highs around **34°C** and published August averages clustered in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, so the market is really about whether the day finishes near seasonal norms or pushes into a stronger heat spike.[2][4][8][14]

A **0% YES** price is unusually low for a mid-summer Chongqing temperature contract, given that historical and climate references consistently place August as the warmest period and cite occasional extremes well above 40°C during heatwaves.[4][8][12] For comparison, travel and climate sources point to August highs around 34°C, while historical records show much higher outliers in severe events, which means the market may be discounting either a specific settlement wording issue, late-day timing, or the possibility that traders are unsure how the airport station’s reading will compare with broader city forecasts.[2][4][18]

From a trading-access perspective, the key regulatory frame is that **German GlüStV** treatment can restrict participation in products classed as gambling, while the **US CFTC** has asserted broad reach over event-contract activity where it has jurisdiction, so location matters for access as much as the weather itself. The platform’s “**no-KYC up to $1,500**” claim means smaller positions may be possible without full identity verification, but that does not override local onboarding, compliance, or geoblocking rules; for this market, the main catalysts are the day’s actual airport observations and any forecast updates close to the settlement cut-off, not a corporate announcement or earnings-style schedule.[1][3][13]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This overview of Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 3? reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

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FAQ

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