Highest temperature in Busan on August 17?

Platform comparison

Market context

On 17 August 2026, the highest temperature recorded at Gimhae International Airport Station in Busan will be measured and reported via Weather Underground's Daily Observations table. Busan's August climate typically sees daytime highs between 28–32 °C, though heat waves can push readings above 35 °C. The resolution hinges on the specific station data rather than summary forecasts, meaning intraday peak temperatures matter more than averaged figures.

Historical August temperatures at Gimhae show considerable year-to-year variation. Between 2015 and 2024, recorded highs ranged from 29 °C to 36 °C on comparable dates, with extreme heat events (above 34 °C) occurring roughly once every three years during mid-August. The current crowd probability of 0% suggests traders are pricing in a below-consensus outcome or awaiting clearer seasonal forecasting data. Comparable Korean meteorological stations show that late-summer heat waves typically correlate with Pacific high-pressure systems and tropical moisture influx from the southwest.

Traders should monitor the Korea Meteorological Administration's seasonal outlook, typically released in July, which flags heat-wave risk for August. Real-time catalysts include mid-July upper-air pattern forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and the US Global Forecast System (GFS), both of which inform 10–15 day confidence in high-temperature ranges. Typhoon activity in early August could suppress temperatures by introducing cloud cover and precipitation, whilst a stalled anticyclone would elevate them significantly. Weather Underground's historical data feed remains the binding reference; discrepancies between its Daily Observations and Day High & Low sections must resolve in favour of the former.

Methodology

This overview of Highest temperature in Busan on August 17? reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

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FAQ

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