North America Regional Qualifier: Qualify to The International

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the Dota 2 North American Regional Qualifier for The International 2026, a single-slot tournament held online from 24 to 27 June 2026, where one team earns a direct path to the global Group Stage. With the crowd-implied probability at 0% YES, the market reflects a near-total consensus that no North American team will qualify, likely due to the region’s historically weak performance in recent years and the dominance of Asian and European contenders in the current competitive landscape.

Historical precedents frame this probability starkly: North America has failed to secure a single direct slot at The International for over a decade, with their last appearance dating back to 2013, and even in open qualifiers, they rarely advance beyond the early rounds[1][2]. Comparable cases include South America’s similar long-term exclusion until 2021, where structural gaps in team funding and coaching infrastructure mirrored North America’s current stagnation, reinforcing the 0% signal as a rational assessment rather than an outlier.

Traders should monitor the official announcement of the full tournament field post-28 June, any delays in publishing Group Stage participants before 15 August, and potential cancellations that would trigger an “Other” resolution[2][3]. Recent news confirms the qualifier kicked off with 24 teams in the open phase, but the regional stage now features only elite entrants, heightening the difficulty for North American teams to break through[1][4]. Regulatory considerations include German GlüStV implications for betting platforms, US CFTC reach over market manipulation, and the “no-KYC up to $1,500” threshold, which allows immediate access for small traders without identity verification, significantly boosting this market’s liquidity and accessibility for retail participants.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews North America Regional Qualifier: Qualify to The International across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.