Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Is Kalshi Legit) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
80% | 20% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
80% | 20% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 80% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 74% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 71% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 67% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 65% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 65% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 60% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 58% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 54% |
| Dallas Goedert: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Williams: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Dallas Goedert: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Hollywood Brown: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Roschon Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Sam Roush: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Saquon Barkley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Zavion Thomas: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Williams: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 50% |
| Dallas Goedert: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 50% |
| Hollywood Brown: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 50% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Caleb Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Caleb Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| Dallas Goedert: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Caleb Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 49% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 49% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| Dallas Goedert: Anytime Touchdown | 48% |
| Makai Lemon: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 48% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 47% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 47% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 47% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Attempts O/U 23.5 | 47% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Rome Odunze: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 46% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 46% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Completions O/U 15.5 | 46% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 45% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 44% |
| Colston Loveland: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| DeVonta Smith: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 44% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 43% |
| Luther Burden III: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 42% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 42% |
| Colston Loveland: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 42% |
| Tank Bigsby: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 42% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| D'Andre Swift: Anytime Touchdown | 41% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 41% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 40% |
| Cole Kmet: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 39% |
| Jalen Hurts: Anytime Touchdown | 39% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 39% |
| Makai Lemon: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 38% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 38% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 38% |
| Johnny Mundt: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 38% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 37% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 37% |
| Rome Odunze: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Luther Burden III: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 36% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 35% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 35% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 34% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 34% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 33% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 33% |
| DeVonta Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 33% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 33% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 32% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 32% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 32% |
| Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 32% |
| Colston Loveland: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 31% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 31% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 30% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 30% |
| Tank Bigsby: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 30% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 29% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 28% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 28% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 28% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 28% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 28% |
| Kyle Monangai: Anytime Touchdown | 28% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 28% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 28% |
| Makai Lemon: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 27% |
| Colston Loveland: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Luther Burden III: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Rome Odunze: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 27% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 27% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Britain Covey: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Colston Loveland: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 27% |
| Darius Cooper: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| E.J. Jenkins: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Jalen Hurts: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Johnny Mundt: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Makai Lemon: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Sam Roush: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 27% |
| Saquon Barkley: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Tank Bigsby: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Will Shipley: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Zavion Thomas: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 27% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 27% |
| Elijah Moore: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 27% |
| Hollywood Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 26% |
| Cole Kmet: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 26% |
| D'Andre Swift: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 26% |
| DeVonta Smith: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 26% |
| Jahdae Walker: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 26% |
| Kalif Raymond: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 26% |
| Kyle Monangai: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 26% |
| Luther Burden III: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 26% |
| Rome Odunze: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 26% |
| Roschon Johnson: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 26% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 26% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 26% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 26% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 26% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 26% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 26% |
| Cole Kmet: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 25% |
| Luther Burden III: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 44.5 | 25% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 25% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 25% |
| Cole Kmet: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 25% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 24% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 24% |
| Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 24% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 24% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 44.5 | 24% |
| Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 24% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 24% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 23% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 23% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 23% |
| Rome Odunze: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| Rome Odunze: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 23% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 23% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 44.5 | 23% |
| Tank Bigsby: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 23% |
| Tank Bigsby: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 23% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 22% |
| Cole Kmet: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Rome Odunze: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 21% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 21% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 21% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 21% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Anytime Touchdown | 20% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 20% |
| Johnny Mundt: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 20% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 19% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 19% |
| Colston Loveland: Anytime Touchdown | 19% |
| Luther Burden III: Anytime Touchdown | 19% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 18% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 18% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 18% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 18% |
| Luther Burden III: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 18% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 18% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Cole Kmet: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 17% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 17% |
| Makai Lemon: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 17% |
| Tank Bigsby: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Colston Loveland: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 15% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 15% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 14% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 14% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Rome Odunze: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 14% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 14% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 14% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 13% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 13% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 13% |
| Tank Bigsby: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 13% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 12% |
| Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 12% |
| Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 12% |
| Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 12% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: 2+ Touchdowns | 12% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 12% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 12% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 12% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Cole Kmet: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 11% |
| Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 11% |
| Colston Loveland: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Luther Burden III: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Tank Bigsby: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| Makai Lemon: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 10% |
| Makai Lemon: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Cole Kmet: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Johnny Mundt: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 9% |
| Saquon Barkley: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 9% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 9% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 9% |
| D'Andre Swift: 2+ Touchdowns | 8% |
| Cole Kmet: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 7% |
| Cole Kmet: Anytime Touchdown | 7% |
| Johnny Mundt: Anytime Touchdown | 7% |
| Kalif Raymond: Anytime Touchdown | 7% |
| Tank Bigsby: Anytime Touchdown | 7% |
| Will Shipley: Anytime Touchdown | 7% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 7% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 7% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 7% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 7% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 7% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 6% |
| Darius Cooper: Anytime Touchdown | 6% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 6% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 6% |
| Cole Kmet: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Jalen Hurts: 2+ Touchdowns | 5% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 5% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 5% |
| Johnny Mundt: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 4% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 4% |
| Elijah Moore: Anytime Touchdown | 4% |
| DeVonta Smith: 2+ Touchdowns | 3% |
| Jahdae Walker: Anytime Touchdown | 3% |
| Kyle Monangai: 2+ Touchdowns | 3% |
| Britain Covey: Anytime Touchdown | 2% |
| E.J. Jenkins: Anytime Touchdown | 2% |
| Makai Lemon: 2+ Touchdowns | 2% |
| Roschon Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 2% |
| Sam Roush: Anytime Touchdown | 2% |
| Zavion Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 2% |
| Cole Kmet: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
| Colston Loveland: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
| Kalif Raymond: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
| Luther Burden III: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
| Rome Odunze: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
| Tank Bigsby: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
| Will Shipley: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
| Britain Covey: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Darius Cooper: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| E.J. Jenkins: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jahdae Walker: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Johnny Mundt: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Elijah Moore: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
Market context
Eagles vs. Bears - Player Props — current market-implied probability: 80%. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Eagles and Bears, scheduled for September 28 at 8:15 PM ET.
Methodology
This overview of Eagles vs. Bears - Player Props reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
FAQ
- Is Polymarket legal in my country?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Is Kalshi Legit has a different geo footprint.
- Do I need to KYC for Is Kalshi Legit?
- Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
- Can I trade anonymously?
- Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Is Kalshi Legit stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
- Are prediction markets gambling?
- Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
- What if regulation changes?
- If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Is Kalshi Legit would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
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