Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Is Kalshi Legit) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Falcons O/U 14.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 90% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 8.5 | 90% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 10.5 | 90% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 12.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 90% |
| 1Q O/U 1.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 90% |
| O/U 30.5 | 88% |
| Falcons vs. Dolphins | 76% |
| O/U 26.5 | 71% |
| Spread -1.5 | 67% |
| Spread -3.5 | 65% |
| O/U 35.5 | 62% |
| Spread -2.5 | 58% |
| O/U 28.5 | 57% |
| O/U 36.5 | 54% |
| Spread -4.5 | 52% |
| Dolphins O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Dolphins O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Dolphins O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Dolphins O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Dolphins O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Dolphins by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Dolphins by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Dolphins by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Dolphins by 21+ | 50% |
| Falcons Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Dolphins Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Falcons vs. Dolphins: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Falcons vs. Dolphins: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| O/U 34.5 | 45% |
| Spread -6.5 | 42% |
| O/U 38.5 | 42% |
| Spread -5.5 | 40% |
| O/U 37.5 | 28% |
| O/U 42.5 | 23% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| O/U 48.5 | 8% |
| O/U 54.5 | 2% |
| Dolphins 1H O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Dolphins 1H O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Dolphins 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Falcons vs. Dolphins. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 28 at 7:00PM ET: If Falcons wins, the market will resolve to "Falcons". If Dolphins wins, the market will resolve to "Dolphins". If the game is postponed…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $153K.
Methodology
This overview of Falcons vs. Dolphins reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
FAQ
- Is Polymarket legal in my country?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Is Kalshi Legit has a different geo footprint.
- Do I need to KYC for Is Kalshi Legit?
- Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
- What happens during a tax audit?
- You're responsible for documenting your trades. Is Kalshi Legit exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
- Are prediction markets gambling?
- Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
- What if regulation changes?
- If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Is Kalshi Legit would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
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