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Spurs vs. Mavericks

"Spurs vs. Mavericks" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Is Kalshi Legit as a Polymarket alternative.

O/U 203.5 95% O/U 205.5 94% O/U 207.5 93% O/U 209.5 91% Volume: $362K Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 25 Oct 2026
Open live market →
Spurs vs. Mavericks

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Is Kalshi Legit) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
95% 5% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
95% 5% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 203.595%
O/U 205.594%
O/U 207.593%
O/U 209.591%
O/U 211.589%
Mavericks O/U 96.587%
O/U 213.586%
Spurs vs. Mavericks84%
Spurs O/U 111.584%
O/U 215.582%
Mavericks O/U 98.582%
Spread -2.580%
O/U 217.579%
Spread -3.578%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 19.578%
1H O/U 112.578%
Spurs O/U 113.578%
1H O/U 102.577%
1H O/U 108.577%
Mavericks O/U 100.577%
O/U 219.576%
1H Moneyline76%
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 3.576%
1H Spread -3.576%
1H O/U 104.576%
1H O/U 106.576%
Spread -4.575%
1H O/U 110.575%
Spurs O/U 115.573%
Spread -5.572%
O/U 220.572%
O/U 221.572%
Mavericks O/U 102.572%
Spread -6.570%
1H Spread -1.568%
O/U 223.567%
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 14.567%
Spurs O/U 117.567%
Spread -7.566%
1H O/U 114.566%
Spread -8.564%
Mavericks O/U 104.564%
O/U 225.563%
Spread -9.562%
O/U 226.561%
1H O/U 116.560%
Mavericks O/U 106.560%
Spread -10.559%
O/U 227.559%
Devin Vassell: Points O/U 9.559%
Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.559%
Spread -11.556%
O/U 228.556%
1H Spread -5.556%
O/U 229.555%
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 5.555%
1H O/U 118.554%
Mavericks O/U 108.553%
O/U 230.552%
Spread -12.552%
1H Spread -6.552%
Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 1.552%
2Q Spread -2.552%
2Q O/U 58.552%
Spurs O/U 109.552%
P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 1.552%
Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 0.551%
Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 3.551%
Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 9.551%
Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 1.551%
Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 1.551%
1Q O/U 60.551%
Spurs O/U 121.551%
Spurs O/U 123.551%
Team to Score First50%
Odd/Even Score50%
Overtime?50%
Race to 1050%
Race to 2050%
Race to 3050%
O/U 231.550%
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.550%
Devin Vassell: Points O/U 4.550%
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 9.550%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 9.550%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 14.550%
Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 1.550%
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 3.550%
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 1.550%
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 34.550%
De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 0.550%
De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 1.550%
De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 2.550%
Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 0.550%
Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 1.550%
Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 2.550%
Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 1.550%
Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 2.550%
Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 0.550%
Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 1.550%
Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 2.550%
Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 2.550%
Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 4.550%
Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 5.550%
Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 0.550%
Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 1.550%
Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 2.550%
Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 9.550%
Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 0.550%
Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 2.550%
1H Spread -17.550%
1H Spread -21.550%
1H Spread -25.550%
1H Spread -0.550%
1H Spread -10.550%
1H Spread -2.550%
1H Spread -4.550%
1H Spread -6.550%
1H Spread -8.550%
1Q Spread -4.550%
1Q Spread -10.550%
1Q Spread -2.550%
1Q Spread -6.550%
1Q Spread -8.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
1Q O/U 58.550%
1Q O/U 62.550%
1Q O/U 64.550%
1Q O/U 48.550%
1Q O/U 50.550%
1Q O/U 52.550%
1Q O/U 54.550%
2Q O/U 54.550%
2Q O/U 56.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -7.550%
3Q Spread -9.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q O/U 50.550%
3Q O/U 52.550%
3Q O/U 54.550%
3Q O/U 58.550%
3Q O/U 60.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q O/U 52.550%
4Q O/U 56.550%
Mavericks 1H O/U 51.550%
Mavericks 1H O/U 53.550%
Mavericks 1H O/U 55.550%
Mavericks 1H O/U 57.550%
Mavericks 1H O/U 59.550%
Spurs 1H O/U 66.550%
Mavericks 2H O/U 50.550%
Mavericks 2H O/U 52.550%
Mavericks 2H O/U 54.550%
Mavericks 2H O/U 56.550%
Mavericks 2H O/U 58.550%
Spurs O/U 119.550%
Spurs 1H O/U 58.550%
Spurs 1H O/U 60.550%
Spurs 1H O/U 62.550%
Spurs 2H O/U 56.550%
Spurs 2H O/U 58.550%
Spurs 2H O/U 60.550%
Spurs 2H O/U 62.550%
Spurs 2H O/U 64.550%
Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 4.550%
Max Christie: Points O/U 4.550%
Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 0.550%
Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 1.550%
Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 2.550%
P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 0.550%
P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 1.550%
P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 2.550%
Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 0.550%
Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 1.550%
Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 2.550%
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 1.549%
Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.549%
Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 9.549%
Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 1.549%
Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 1.549%
Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.549%
1H Spread -7.548%
Dylan Harper: Points O/U 9.548%
Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 1.548%
Naji Marshall: Points O/U 29.548%
1H Spread -11.548%
1H Spread -13.548%
1H Spread -15.548%
1H Spread -19.548%
1H Spread -23.548%
1H O/U 120.548%
Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 19.548%
Spread -13.547%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.547%
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 3.547%
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 1.547%
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 11.547%
Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.547%
Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.547%
Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 3.547%
P.J. Washington: Points O/U 29.547%
Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.547%
O/U 233.546%
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 7.546%
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 9.546%
Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 11.546%
P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 13.546%
Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.546%
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.545%
Naji Marshall: Points O/U 9.545%
Mavericks O/U 110.545%
Max Christie: Points O/U 24.545%
Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 13.545%
Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.545%
Spread -14.544%
Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 9.544%
O/U 234.543%
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.543%
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 9.543%
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 11.543%
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 7.543%
De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.543%
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.542%
Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.542%
Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 24.542%
P.J. Washington: Points O/U 9.542%
Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.541%
Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.541%
Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 14.541%
1H O/U 122.541%
2Q Spread -4.541%
Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 3.540%
Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.540%
3Q Spread -1.540%
Mavericks O/U 112.540%
P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 7.540%
O/U 236.539%
Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 1.539%
1H Spread -9.539%
2Q O/U 60.539%
Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.539%
P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.539%
Spread -16.538%
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 17.538%
2Q O/U 62.538%
Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 39.538%
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.537%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 44.537%
Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.537%
Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.536%
Dylan Harper: Points O/U 14.535%
Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 3.535%
Dylan Harper: Points O/U 34.535%
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 11.535%
Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.535%
Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 3.535%
Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 5.535%
Max Christie: Assists O/U 1.535%
Spread -18.534%
Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 19.534%
Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.534%
Max Christie: Points O/U 9.534%
O/U 239.533%
Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 3.533%
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 29.533%
Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.533%
3Q O/U 56.533%
Mavericks O/U 114.533%
Spurs 1H O/U 64.533%
Spread -19.532%
4Q O/U 54.532%
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.531%
Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.531%
3Q O/U 62.531%
4Q Spread -4.531%
Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 34.529%
4Q Spread -2.529%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.529%
O/U 242.528%
Spread -20.528%
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.528%
Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.528%
Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 21.528%
2Q Spread -6.528%
Spurs O/U 129.528%
Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 20.528%
P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.528%
Dylan Harper: Points O/U 17.527%
Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 4.527%
De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.527%
4Q Spread -6.527%
Mavericks O/U 116.527%
Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.526%
Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.526%
P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.526%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 28.525%
2Q Spread -1.525%
Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.525%
Spread -22.524%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 29.524%
Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.524%
Mavericks O/U 118.524%
Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.524%
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.523%
Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.523%
O/U 245.522%
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 19.522%
Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.522%
Spurs O/U 131.522%
Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.521%
Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.521%
1H O/U 124.521%
Dylan Harper: Points O/U 19.520%
Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.520%
1H O/U 126.520%
Spread -24.519%
Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.519%
Devin Vassell: Points O/U 14.518%
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.518%
Mavericks O/U 120.518%
Max Christie: Points O/U 14.518%
Naji Marshall: Points O/U 19.517%
Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 5.517%
1H O/U 128.517%
1H O/U 130.517%
Spurs O/U 133.517%
Spread -26.516%
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.516%
Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.516%
1H O/U 132.516%
P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.516%
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 7.515%
Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 5.515%
De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.515%
Spread -2.514%
Spread -1.514%
Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.514%
Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.514%
Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.514%
1H O/U 134.514%
P.J. Washington: Points O/U 19.514%
P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 9.514%
Max Christie: Assists O/U 3.514%
Spread -28.513%
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 19.513%
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 7.513%
Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 9.513%
Spread -3.512%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 34.512%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 39.512%
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 5.512%
Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 5.512%
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 15.512%
Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.512%
Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 5.512%
Naji Marshall: Points O/U 24.512%
Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.512%
Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.512%
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 29.511%
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 9.511%
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 9.511%
Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 3.511%
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 9.511%
Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 29.511%
Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 5.511%
Spread -30.510%
Dylan Harper: Points O/U 24.510%
Dylan Harper: Points O/U 29.510%
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 24.510%
Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 9.510%
Devin Vassell: Points O/U 24.510%
Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.510%
Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 7.510%
Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 14.510%
P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 3.510%
Spread -5.59%
Devin Vassell: Points O/U 19.59%
Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.59%
Spread -7.58%
Spread -32.58%
Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 7.58%
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 5.58%
De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.58%
Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.58%
Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.58%
Max Christie: Points O/U 19.58%
Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.58%
P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.58%
Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 7.57%
Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.57%
Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.57%
Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 7.57%
Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.57%
P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 11.57%
Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 7.57%
Spread -34.56%
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 24.56%
De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.56%
Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.56%
P.J. Washington: Points O/U 24.56%
P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.56%
Spread -11.55%
Spread -13.55%
Spread -9.55%
Spread -36.55%
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 7.55%
Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 7.55%
Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 5.55%
Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 7.55%
Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 7.55%
Max Christie: Assists O/U 5.55%
P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 5.55%
Spread -19.53%
Spread -15.53%
Spread -17.52%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, spurs vs. mavericks stands at 95% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 24 at 8:00PM ET: If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks".…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 203.5 at 95% for "Spurs vs. Mavericks".

O/U 203.5 95% Other 5%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $362K.

Methodology

This overview of Spurs vs. Mavericks reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

How are winnings taxed?
Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
Can I trade anonymously?
Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Is Kalshi Legit stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
What happens during a tax audit?
You're responsible for documenting your trades. Is Kalshi Legit exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
Are prediction markets gambling?
Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
and

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