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MLB: Team to win 100+ games

"MLB: Team to win 100+ games" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Is Kalshi Legit as a Polymarket alternative.

Los Angeles Dodgers 67% Milwaukee Brewers 37% New York Yankees 20% San Diego Padres 19% Volume: $274K Liquidity: $25K Closes: 28 Sept 2026
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MLB: Team to win 100+ games

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Is Kalshi Legit) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
67% 33% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
67% 33% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Los Angeles Dodgers67%
Milwaukee Brewers37%
New York Yankees20%
San Diego Padres19%
Atlanta Braves18%
Tampa Bay Rays17%
St. Louis Cardinals11%
Philadelphia Phillies8%
Chicago Cubs6%
Baltimore Orioles5%
Texas Rangers5%
Chicago White Sox4%
Miami Marlins4%
Seattle Mariners4%
Toronto Blue Jays4%
Arizona Diamondbacks3%
Houston Astros3%
Minnesota Twins3%
Washington Nationals3%
Boston Red Sox2%
San Francisco Giants2%
Cleveland Guardians1%
Detroit Tigers1%
Kansas City Royals1%
Los Angeles Angels1%
New York Mets1%
Cincinnati Reds0%
Colorado Rockies0%
Athletics0%
Pittsburgh Pirates0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, mlb: team to win 100+ games stands at 67% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team wins 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any po…

Methodology

This overview of MLB: Team to win 100+ games reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

How are winnings taxed?
Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
What happens during a tax audit?
You're responsible for documenting your trades. Is Kalshi Legit exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
Are prediction markets gambling?
Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
What if regulation changes?
If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Is Kalshi Legit would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
and

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