Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Mariam Bolkvadze vs Jeline Vandromme Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% Vandromme | 100% Bolkvadze |
| Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Mariam Bolkvadze vs Jeline Vandromme Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Mariam Bolkvadze vs Jeline Vandromme Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Mariam Bolkvadze vs Jeline Vandromme Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Mariam Bolkvadze vs Jeline Vandromme Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Mariam Bolkvadze vs Jeline Vandromme | 100% Mariam Bolkvadze | 0% Jeline Vandromme |
Market context
Market consensus: 0% chance of wimbledon, qualification wta: mariam bolkvadze vs jeline vandromme. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Mariam Bolkvadze and Jeline Vandromme in the Wimbledon, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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