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Israel vs. Republic of Ireland - Exact Score

"Israel vs. Republic of Ireland - Exact Score" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Is Kalshi Legit as a Polymarket alternative.

Israel 1 - 1 Republic of Ireland 14% Any Other Score 11% Israel 0 - 0 Republic of Ireland 10% Israel 1 - 0 Republic of Ireland 10% Volume: $150K Liquidity: $208K Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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Israel vs. Republic of Ireland - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Is Kalshi Legit) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
14% 86% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
14% 86% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Israel 1 - 1 Republic of Ireland14%
Any Other Score11%
Israel 0 - 0 Republic of Ireland10%
Israel 1 - 0 Republic of Ireland10%
Israel 0 - 1 Republic of Ireland9%
Israel 2 - 1 Republic of Ireland9%
Israel 1 - 2 Republic of Ireland8%
Israel 0 - 2 Republic of Ireland6%
Israel 2 - 0 Republic of Ireland6%
Israel 2 - 2 Republic of Ireland6%
Israel 3 - 1 Republic of Ireland4%
Israel 3 - 0 Republic of Ireland3%
Israel 1 - 3 Republic of Ireland3%
Israel 3 - 2 Republic of Ireland3%
Israel 0 - 3 Republic of Ireland2%
Israel 2 - 3 Republic of Ireland2%
Israel 3 - 3 Republic of Ireland2%

Market context

Market consensus: 14% chance of israel vs. republic of ireland - exact score. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Israel and Republic of Ireland, scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score o…

Methodology

This overview of Israel vs. Republic of Ireland - Exact Score reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Is Polymarket legal in my country?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Is Kalshi Legit has a different geo footprint.
Do I need to KYC for Is Kalshi Legit?
Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
What happens during a tax audit?
You're responsible for documenting your trades. Is Kalshi Legit exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
Are prediction markets gambling?
Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
What if regulation changes?
If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Is Kalshi Legit would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
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