UFC Fight Night: Javier Reyes vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Prelims)

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The real-world event is a featherweight prelim at UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs Torres in Baku, where Kaan Ofli submitted Javier Reyes via arm-triangle choke in the first round on 27 June 2026[4]. This decisive outcome means the prediction market titled “UFC Fight Night: Javier Reyes vs. Kaan Ofli” will resolve to Kaan Ofli, rendering the 0% YES probability for Javier Reyes factually accurate and settled[2].

Historically, similar UFC prelim markets with 0% backing for one fighter have resolved correctly when a first-round submission occurs, as seen in recent Baku events where early finishes invalidated late-money shifts[1]. The current probability aligns with this pattern, reflecting the official result rather than speculative odds, and confirms that no draw or no-contest clause applies here[2].

Traders should monitor the UFC’s official post-fight report for any rare reversals, though such changes are excluded from market resolution after expiration[2]. No further announcements are expected, as the fight has concluded and the settlement window closes on 28 June 2026[3]. Regarding accessibility, German GlüStV and US CFTC rules permit “no-KYC up to $1,500” for regulated prediction markets, allowing immediate participation without identity verification for this specific outcome[2]. This framework ensures the market remains accessible while adhering to regulatory standards.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews UFC Fight Night: Javier Reyes vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Prelims) across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.