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LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage

"LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Is Kalshi Legit as a Polymarket alternative.

Game 2 Winner 100% Game 3 Winner 100% O/U 3.5 Games 100% First Blood in Game 1? 100% Volume: $445K Liquidity: $1.0M Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Is Kalshi Legit) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
Game 3 Winner100%
O/U 3.5 Games100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Match Winner99%
Game 4 Winner98%
Game Handicap: CFO (-1.5) vs Ground Zero Gaming (+1.5)97%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon55%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon55%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon53%
Odd/Even Total Kills53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Any Player Quadra Kill48%
Any Player Penta Kill48%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor45%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors45%
Odd/Even Total Kills45%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor45%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors45%
Odd/Even Total Kills45%
O/U 4.5 Games3%
Any Player Quadra Kill1%
Any Player Penta Kill1%
Any Player Quadra Kill1%
Any Player Penta Kill1%
First Blood in Game 3?1%
First Blood in Game 2?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: CFO (-2.5) vs Ground Zero Gaming (+2.5)0%

Market context

LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between CTBC Flying Oyster and Ground Zero Gaming in the LCP Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 9 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "CTBC …

Methodology

This overview of LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Is Polymarket legal in my country?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Is Kalshi Legit has a different geo footprint.
Do I need to KYC for Is Kalshi Legit?
Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
Can I trade anonymously?
Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Is Kalshi Legit stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
Are prediction markets gambling?
Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
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