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Mexico vs. England - Player Props

"Mexico vs. England - Player Props" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Is Kalshi Legit as a Polymarket alternative.

Harry Kane: 1+ shots 93% Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots 91% Harry Kane: 2+ shots 85% Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots 82% Volume: $381K Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Mexico vs. England - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Is Kalshi Legit) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
93% 7% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
93% 7% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Harry Kane: 1+ shots93%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots91%
Harry Kane: 2+ shots85%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots82%
Harry Kane: 4+ shots64%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots64%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots62%
Harry Kane: 3+ shots60%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots51%
Armando González: 1+ shots on target50%
Harry Kane: 3+ shots on target50%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ shots on target50%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ shots on target50%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots on target50%
Jordan Pickford: 5+ saves50%
Raúl Rangel: 3+ saves50%
Raúl Rangel: 5+ saves50%
Armando González: 2+ shots on target48%
Harry Kane: 1+ shots on target48%
Harry Kane: 2+ shots on target48%
Harry Kane: 4+ shots on target48%
Ivan Toney: 1+ shots on target48%
Ivan Toney: 2+ shots on target48%
Ivan Toney: 3+ shots on target48%
Ivan Toney: 4+ shots on target48%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ shots on target48%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ shots on target48%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ shots on target48%
Jordan Pickford: 2+ saves48%
Jordan Pickford: 4+ saves48%
Raúl Rangel: 2+ saves48%
Raúl Rangel: 4+ saves48%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ shots44%
Harry Kane: 2+ goals + assists41%
Harry Kane: 3+ goals + assists40%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goals + assists39%
Harry Kane: 1+ goals38%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots36%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots on target36%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots on target35%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ goals + assists35%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ shots34%
Jordan Pickford: 3+ saves34%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ shots33%
Julián Quiñones: 4+ goals + assists33%
Raúl Jiménez: 4+ goals + assists33%
Armando González: 2+ shots32%
Ivan Toney: 1+ shots32%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals + assists32%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots31%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots on target31%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ goals + assists31%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ goals + assists31%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ goals + assists30%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ shots28%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals27%
Armando González: 1+ shots27%
Harry Kane: 1+ goals + assists27%
Santiago Giménez: 4+ shots26%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals25%
Raúl Jiménez: 4+ shots22%
Harry Kane: 4+ goals + assists22%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ shots21%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ shots21%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals + assists21%
Ivan Toney: 2+ shots20%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals + assists20%
Santiago Giménez: 5+ shots19%
Julián Quiñones: 4+ shots16%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots on target16%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots on target15%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots on target14%
Harry Kane: 5+ shots13%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ assists13%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals12%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ shots12%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ assists12%
Armando González: 1+ goals11%
Raúl Jiménez: 5+ shots11%
Harry Kane: 1+ assists11%
Armando González: 5+ shots10%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ assists10%
Harry Kane: 2+ goals9%
Armando González: 4+ shots8%
Julián Quiñones: 5+ shots8%
Marcus Rashford: 5+ shots8%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals + assists8%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ goals7%
Ollie Watkins: 4+ shots on target7%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ goals6%
Ivan Toney: 1+ goals5%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ goals4%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goals4%
Armando González: 3+ shots4%
Ivan Toney: 3+ shots4%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ shots4%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ shots4%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals + assists4%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ goals3%
Ollie Watkins: 4+ shots3%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ assists3%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ assists3%
Armando González: 3+ goals2%
Harry Kane: 3+ goals2%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals2%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ goals2%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ goals2%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ goals2%
Ivan Toney: 5+ shots2%
Ollie Watkins: 5+ shots2%
Harry Kane: 2+ assists2%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ assists2%
Armando González: 3+ shots on target2%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ shots on target2%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ shots on target2%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ shots on target2%
Armando González: 2+ goals1%
Ivan Toney: 2+ goals1%
Ivan Toney: 3+ goals1%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ goals1%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ goals1%
Ivan Toney: 4+ shots1%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals0%

Market context

Mexico vs. England - Player Props — current market-implied probability: 93%. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and England, scheduled for July 5 at 8:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This overview of Mexico vs. England - Player Props reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Do I need to KYC for Is Kalshi Legit?
Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
What happens during a tax audit?
You're responsible for documenting your trades. Is Kalshi Legit exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
Are prediction markets gambling?
Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
What if regulation changes?
If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Is Kalshi Legit would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
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