Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5) | 0% Walczaki | 100% Inner Circle Esports |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Walczaki (-6.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+6.5) | 0% Walczaki | 100% Inner Circle Esports |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% Walczaki | 100% Inner Circle Esports |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% Walczaki | 100% Inner Circle Esports |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Esports (-6.5) vs Walczaki (+6.5) | 50% Inner Circle Esports | 50% Walczaki |
Market context
Market consensus: 0% chance of counter-strike: walczaki vs inner circle esports (bo3) - super draculan playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Walczaki and Inner Circle Esports in the Super DraculaN Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 26 at 11:00AM E…
Methodology
We track Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports (BO… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →