🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogSee live odds →

Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs

"Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs" on Polymarket, Kalshi and Is Kalshi Legit — what traders need to know about platform choice, KYC and tax law.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5) 100% Match Winner 67% O/U 2.5 Games 54% Volume: $184K Liquidity: $121K Closes: 26 Sept 2026
Open live market →
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Is Kalshi Legit) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)100%
Match Winner67%
O/U 2.5 Games54%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)48%
Map 2 Winner46%
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs Astralis (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between 100 Thieves and Astralis in the Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market …

Methodology

This overview of Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Is Polymarket legal in my country?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Is Kalshi Legit has a different geo footprint.
How are winnings taxed?
Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
Can I trade anonymously?
Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Is Kalshi Legit stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
What happens during a tax audit?
You're responsible for documenting your trades. Is Kalshi Legit exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
What if regulation changes?
If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Is Kalshi Legit would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stak… on Is Kalshi Legit

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →