Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Is Kalshi Legit) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 28.5 | 94% |
| O/U 30.5 | 90% |
| O/U 32.5 | 89% |
| O/U 34.5 | 85% |
| O/U 36.5 | 82% |
| O/U 38.5 | 77% |
| Texas O/U 18.5 | 75% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 75% |
| O/U 40.5 | 74% |
| Ohio State O/U 18.5 | 74% |
| Ohio State O/U 17.5 | 74% |
| Texas O/U 19.5 | 73% |
| O/U 42.5 | 72% |
| Texas O/U 2.5 | 72% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 69% |
| 2H Moneyline | 67% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 67% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 67% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 67% |
| Ohio State O/U 20.5 | 66% |
| O/U 44.5 | 63% |
| Texas O/U 21.5 | 63% |
| Ohio State O/U 21.5 | 62% |
| Texas O/U 22.5 | 61% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 61% |
| O/U 46.5 | 60% |
| O/U 47.5 | 57% |
| Ohio State O/U 2.5 | 57% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 57% |
| Bo Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 56% |
| Ohio State O/U 23.5 | 56% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 56% |
| O/U 48.5 | 55% |
| O/U 49.5 | 53% |
| Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Spread: Texas (-1.5) | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 52% |
| Devin McCuin: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Isaiah West: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Texas 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Michael Masunas: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chris Henry Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brandon Inniss: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Derrek Cooper: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Julian Sayin: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Sterling Berkhalter: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| James Simon: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nate Roberts: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mason Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Hunter Welcing: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kyle Parker: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nick Townsend: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brock Boyd: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Texas O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Texas 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Texas 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Texas 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Texas 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Texas 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| O/U 50.5 | 49% |
| 1H Moneyline | 49% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 49% |
| Texas O/U 25.5 | 49% |
| Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| Ohio State O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Ohio State vs. Texas | 47% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| Texas 1H O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 44% |
| Ohio State O/U 26.5 | 44% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 44% |
| O/U 52.5 | 43% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 43% |
| Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 41% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Texas O/U 27.5 | 41% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 40% |
| Ohio State O/U 27.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| O/U 54.5 | 38% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| Spread -4.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Texas O/U 28.5 | 37% |
| Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| Ohio State O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| O/U 56.5 | 34% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 33% |
| Texas O/U 30.5 | 32% |
| Ohio State O/U 29.5 | 32% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| Jeremiah Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 29% |
| O/U 58.5 | 28% |
| Ohio State O/U 30.5 | 28% |
| Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| O/U 60.5 | 26% |
| Texas O/U 31.5 | 26% |
| Spread -8.5 | 25% |
| Hollywood Smothers: Anytime Touchdown | 25% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 25% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| Spread -9.5 | 23% |
| O/U 62.5 | 22% |
| Arch Manning: Anytime Touchdown | 22% |
| Ryan Wingo: Anytime Touchdown | 22% |
| Cam Coleman: Anytime Touchdown | 22% |
| Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 21% |
| Raleek Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 20% |
| O/U 64.5 | 19% |
| Spread -8.5 | 18% |
| Spread -13.5 | 17% |
| Ja'Kobi Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 17% |
| Spread -11.5 | 16% |
| Legend Bey: Anytime Touchdown | 15% |
| O/U 66.5 | 14% |
| Emmett Mosley V: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| Spread -12.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 13% |
| Spread -34.5 | 13% |
| O/U 68.5 | 13% |
| Spread -12.5 | 12% |
| Spread -16.5 | 11% |
| Spread -14.5 | 11% |
| Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| Spread -15.5 | 9% |
| Spread -31.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| Spread -15.5 | 6% |
| Spread -18.5 | 6% |
| Spread -21.5 | 5% |
| Spread -24.5 | 5% |
| Spread -18.5 | 5% |
| Spread -19.5 | 5% |
| Spread -22.5 | 5% |
| Spread -27.5 | 4% |
Market context
Market consensus: 94% chance of ohio state vs. texas. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Ohio State and Texas, scheduled for September 12 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ohio State" if Ohio State win the game. Th…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $139K.
Methodology
This overview of Ohio State vs. Texas reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
FAQ
- Do I need to KYC for Is Kalshi Legit?
- Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
- How are winnings taxed?
- Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
- Can I trade anonymously?
- Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Is Kalshi Legit stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
- Are prediction markets gambling?
- Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
- What if regulation changes?
- If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Is Kalshi Legit would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
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