Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Is Kalshi Legit) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee 1H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Middle Tennessee 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Middle Tennessee 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Middle Tennessee 1H O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Middle Tennessee 1H O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Middle Tennessee 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| O/U 40.5 | 92% |
| Middle Tennessee O/U 15.5 | 91% |
| Middle Tennessee O/U 18.5 | 91% |
| Spread -2.5 | 62% |
| Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall | 56% |
| Marshall O/U 30.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| O/U 68.5 | 50% |
| O/U 72.5 | 50% |
| O/U 74.5 | 50% |
| O/U 78.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Marshall O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Marshall O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Marshall O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Marshall O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Marshall O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Marshall O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Marshall O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Marshall O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Marshall O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Marshall O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Marshall 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Marshall 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Marshall 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Carlos Del Rio-Wilson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Joshon Barbie: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| TJ Lester: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Antonio Martin Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Adrian Norton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Roman Gagliano: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| AJ Jones: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Toby Payne: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| De'Andre Tamarez: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chris Culliver: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cam'ron Lacy: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| DJ Taylor: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Owen Sweeney: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tayvion Galloway: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Markus Allen: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Christian Hamilton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tyree Patterson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Austin Clemons: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Neo Clifton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Marshall O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Marshall O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Marshall O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Marshall O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| Marshall O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| O/U 57.5 | 46% |
| O/U 46.5 | 44% |
| O/U 70.5 | 39% |
| Spread -16.5 | 38% |
| O/U 76.5 | 37% |
| Spread -30.5 | 37% |
| Spread -17.5 | 34% |
| Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| Spread -9.5 | 33% |
| Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| Spread -21.5 | 31% |
| Spread -19.5 | 31% |
| O/U 60.5 | 30% |
| Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| O/U 56.5 | 28% |
| Spread -24.5 | 24% |
| Spread -13.5 | 22% |
| Spread -3.5 | 21% |
| O/U 58.5 | 20% |
| Spread -2.5 | 20% |
| Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| Spread -27.5 | 16% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 14% |
| Spread -11.5 | 14% |
| O/U 64.5 | 12% |
| Spread -14.5 | 9% |
| Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Marshall 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Marshall 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Marshall 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, middle tennessee vs. marshall stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between Middle Tennessee and Marshall, scheduled for September 12 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Middle Tennessee" if Middle Tenne…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $237K.
Methodology
This overview of Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
FAQ
- How are winnings taxed?
- Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
- Can I trade anonymously?
- Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Is Kalshi Legit stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
- Are prediction markets gambling?
- Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
- Is there a withdrawal cap?
- No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
- What if regulation changes?
- If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Is Kalshi Legit would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
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