Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Is Kalshi Legit) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
91% | 9% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
91% | 9% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 36.5 | 91% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 91% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 91% |
| Spread -1.5 | 86% |
| Spread -2.5 | 84% |
| Spread -3.5 | 80% |
| Spread -4.5 | 77% |
| O/U 42.5 | 77% |
| O/U 38.5 | 76% |
| O/U 40.5 | 76% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 76% |
| Spread -5.5 | 75% |
| Spread -6.5 | 74% |
| O/U 44.5 | 72% |
| Utah O/U 27.5 | 70% |
| Spread -7.5 | 68% |
| O/U 46.5 | 68% |
| Spread: Utah (-9.5) | 64% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 64% |
| Spread -8.5 | 62% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 62% |
| Utah O/U 30.5 | 62% |
| Spread -10.5 | 61% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 61% |
| O/U 48.5 | 60% |
| O/U 50.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 59% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| Spread -11.5 | 57% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 57% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 56% |
| Spread -12.5 | 54% |
| Spread -13.5 | 54% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Wayshawn Parker: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Devon Dampier: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Braden Pegan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Braylen Russell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Sutton Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chris Marshall: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| KJ Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ricky Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaden Platt: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Daniel Bray: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Larry Simmons: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| CJ Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Donovan Faupel: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jamari Hawkins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Utah O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Utah O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Utah O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Utah 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Utah 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Utah 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Utah O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Utah O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Utah O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| Utah 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Utah 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Utah 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas 1H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Byrd Ficklin: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Steve Chavez-Soto: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Hunter Andrews: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Noah Bennee: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Creed Whittemore: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cam Settles: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ismael Cisse: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kyri Shoels: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jelani Watkins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Utah 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Utah 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Utah 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| Spread -29.5 | 50% |
| Spread -32.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| Spread -15.5 | 49% |
| Arkansas O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Utah O/U 34.5 | 47% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| Utah O/U 4.5 | 46% |
| Spread -16.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| Arkansas O/U 20.5 | 45% |
| Spread -18.5 | 45% |
| Spread -19.5 | 44% |
| O/U 54.5 | 43% |
| Spread -17.5 | 42% |
| O/U 55.5 | 40% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 40% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 40% |
| Arkansas O/U 21.5 | 39% |
| O/U 56.5 | 38% |
| Utah O/U 37.5 | 38% |
| Spread -22.5 | 37% |
| O/U 57.5 | 36% |
| O/U 62.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 36% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 36% |
| O/U 58.5 | 35% |
| Arkansas O/U 23.5 | 35% |
| Spread -20.5 | 34% |
| O/U 64.5 | 34% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 33% |
| Spread -25.5 | 32% |
| Spread -26.5 | 32% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 32% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| O/U 68.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 30% |
| Spread -21.5 | 29% |
| O/U 70.5 | 29% |
| Arkansas O/U 27.5 | 29% |
| O/U 60.5 | 28% |
| O/U 74.5 | 28% |
| O/U 76.5 | 27% |
| Spread -24.5 | 23% |
| O/U 66.5 | 18% |
| Spread -27.5 | 16% |
| Arkansas vs. Utah | 14% |
| Spread -2.5 | 12% |
| Spread -1.5 | 12% |
| O/U 72.5 | 11% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Spread -4.5 | 8% |
| Spread -5.5 | 7% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 91% probability to arkansas vs. utah. In the upcoming college football game between Arkansas and Utah, scheduled for September 12 at 10:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arkansas" if Arkansas win the game. This market will resolve to …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $153K.
Methodology
This overview of Arkansas vs. Utah reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
FAQ
- Is Polymarket legal in my country?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Is Kalshi Legit has a different geo footprint.
- Do I need to KYC for Is Kalshi Legit?
- Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
- Can I trade anonymously?
- Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Is Kalshi Legit stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
- What happens during a tax audit?
- You're responsible for documenting your trades. Is Kalshi Legit exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
- What if regulation changes?
- If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Is Kalshi Legit would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2026%20A%2022%2028%200%200%201%2054%2026%22%20fill%3D%22%237c3aed%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2018%20Q%2016%204%2026%2010%20Q%2020%202%2032%206%20Q%2044%202%2038%2010%20Q%2048%204%2054%2018%22%20stroke%3D%22%237c3aed%22%20stroke-width%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22none%22%20stroke-linecap%3D%22round%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Arkansas vs. Utah on Is Kalshi Legit
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →