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Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan

"Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan" on Polymarket, Kalshi and Is Kalshi Legit — what traders need to know about platform choice, KYC and tax law.

Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan 100% Completed Match 100% Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Set 1 Winner 100% Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $208K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Is Kalshi Legit) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan100%
Completed Match100%
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Set 1 Winner100%
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Set 2 Winner100%
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Match O/U 21.50%
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Match O/U 22.50%
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to granby: daniel milavsky vs duncan chan. This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Milavsky and Duncan Chan in the Granby, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Milavsky' if Da…

Methodology

This overview of Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Is Polymarket legal in my country?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Is Kalshi Legit has a different geo footprint.
Do I need to KYC for Is Kalshi Legit?
Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
What happens during a tax audit?
You're responsible for documenting your trades. Is Kalshi Legit exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
Are prediction markets gambling?
Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
and

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