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Fresno State vs. San Diego State

Regulatory snapshot for "Fresno State vs. San Diego State": platform geo-block status, KYC thresholds, tax implications.

O/U 35.5 100% O/U 37.5 100% O/U 39.5 100% O/U 41.5 100% Volume: $231K Liquidity: $364K Closes: 18 Oct 2026
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Fresno State vs. San Diego State

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Is Kalshi Legit) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
O/U 41.5100%
O/U 43.5100%
O/U 45.5100%
1H O/U 21.5100%
1H O/U 24.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
San Diego State 1H O/U 12.5100%
San Diego State 1H O/U 14.5100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
3Q Spread -5.5100%
3Q Spread -3.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Spread -1.5100%
3Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q Moneyline100%
3Q Moneyline100%
O/U 47.599%
2H Moneyline87%
Spread -0.578%
Fresno State O/U 20.577%
San Diego State O/U 23.570%
O/U 49.568%
Spread -0.563%
Spread -1.563%
Spread -2.560%
4Q O/U 7.551%
4Q O/U 10.551%
4Q O/U 13.551%
Spread -16.550%
Spread -17.550%
Spread -20.550%
O/U 69.550%
O/U 71.550%
O/U 73.550%
O/U 75.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
4Q O/U 16.550%
4Q O/U 19.550%
Fresno State O/U 26.550%
Fresno State O/U 29.550%
Fresno State O/U 32.550%
San Diego State O/U 26.550%
San Diego State O/U 29.550%
San Diego State O/U 32.550%
San Diego State O/U 35.550%
Fresno State 2H O/U 11.550%
Fresno State 2H O/U 13.550%
Fresno State 2H O/U 15.550%
San Diego State 2H O/U 12.550%
San Diego State 2H O/U 14.550%
San Diego State 2H O/U 16.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Fresno State vs. San Diego State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q450%
Fresno State vs. San Diego State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
Fresno State vs. San Diego State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Fresno State vs. San Diego State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Fresno State vs. San Diego State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Fresno State vs. San Diego State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
Fresno State O/U 3.550%
San Diego State O/U 2.550%
Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.549%
Fresno State O/U 23.545%
O/U 51.541%
Fresno State vs. San Diego State37%
4Q Moneyline37%
Spread -2.532%
Spread -1.532%
O/U 53.528%
O/U 55.528%
O/U 57.515%
Spread -3.512%
O/U 59.511%
Spread -3.510%
Spread -4.510%
Spread -5.510%
O/U 61.510%
Spread -6.58%
Spread -5.57%
Spread -4.57%
Spread -8.57%
Spread -6.56%
O/U 63.55%
O/U 65.55%
O/U 67.55%
Spread -16.52%
Spread -7.52%
Spread -13.52%
Spread -14.51%
Spread -13.51%
Spread -10.51%
Spread -8.51%
Spread -7.51%
Spread -10.51%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -14.50%
1H O/U 27.50%
1H O/U 30.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
3Q O/U 7.50%
3Q O/U 10.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 16.50%
3Q O/U 19.50%
Fresno State 1H O/U 11.50%
Fresno State 1H O/U 13.50%
Fresno State 1H O/U 15.50%
San Diego State 1H O/U 16.50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q20%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q30%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q10%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q30%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Fresno State vs. San Diego State — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Fresno State and San Diego State, scheduled for October 17 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fresno State" if Fresno State win the game. This ma…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 35.5 at 100% for "Fresno State vs. San Diego State".

O/U 35.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $231K.

Methodology

This overview of Fresno State vs. San Diego State reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

How are winnings taxed?
Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
Can I trade anonymously?
Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Is Kalshi Legit stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
What happens during a tax audit?
You're responsible for documenting your trades. Is Kalshi Legit exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
Are prediction markets gambling?
Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
What if regulation changes?
If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Is Kalshi Legit would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
and

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