Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Is Kalshi Legit) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| East Carolina O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| East Carolina O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| East Carolina O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 98% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 98% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 98% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 98% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 98% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 98% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 98% |
| O/U 52.5 | 94% |
| O/U 51.5 | 94% |
| O/U 53.5 | 93% |
| Spread -14.5 | 93% |
| Spread -20.5 | 90% |
| Spread -13.5 | 89% |
| Spread -17.5 | 87% |
| O/U 55.5 | 87% |
| Spread -24.5 | 85% |
| O/U 57.5 | 84% |
| Alabama O/U 45.5 | 77% |
| O/U 63.5 | 76% |
| EJ Crowell: Anytime Touchdown | 75% |
| O/U 67.5 | 73% |
| O/U 54.5 | 70% |
| East Carolina O/U 9.5 | 64% |
| Spread: Alabama (-28.5) | 61% |
| Spread -21.5 | 61% |
| O/U 65.5 | 61% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 58% |
| Spread -27.5 | 56% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 56% |
| East Carolina O/U 13.5 | 56% |
| Spread -10.5 | 55% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 55% |
| Spread -16.5 | 53% |
| East Carolina O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| O/U 45.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| Alabama O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 1H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Hill: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kevin Riley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Keelon Russell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Lotzeir Brooks: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kaleb Edwards: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ashton Gray: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Derek Meadows: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Rico Scott: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Josh Ford: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| TJ Engleman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mitch Griffis: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Michael Allen: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brock Spalding: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ismael Smith Flores: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jeremiah Melvin: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tyler Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dillon Lorick: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 46% |
| Spread -31.5 | 42% |
| O/U 69.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -15.5 | 37% |
| East Carolina O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| East Carolina vs. Alabama | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
East Carolina vs. Alabama. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 2% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-05T16:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $189K.
Methodology
This overview of East Carolina vs. Alabama reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
FAQ
- Do I need to KYC for Is Kalshi Legit?
- Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
- How are winnings taxed?
- Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
- What happens during a tax audit?
- You're responsible for documenting your trades. Is Kalshi Legit exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
- Are prediction markets gambling?
- Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
- What if regulation changes?
- If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Is Kalshi Legit would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
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