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PGA Tour: Genesis Scottish Open Winner

Regulatory snapshot for "PGA Tour: Genesis Scottish Open Winner": platform geo-block status, KYC thresholds, tax implications.

Rory McIlroy 9% Tommy Fleetwood 4% Ludvig Aberg 3% Matt Fitzpatrick 3% Volume: $89K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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PGA Tour: Genesis Scottish Open Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Is Kalshi Legit) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 9% 91% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 9% 91% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Rory McIlroy9%
Tommy Fleetwood4%
Ludvig Aberg3%
Matt Fitzpatrick3%
Patrick Cantlay2%
Wyndham Clark2%
Alex Fitzpatrick2%
Chris Gotterup2%
Tyrrell Hatton2%
Viktor Hovland2%
Robert MacIntyre2%
Angel Ayora1%
Bud Cauley1%
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra1%
Eric Cole1%
Pierceson Coody1%
Harris English1%
Ryan Fox1%
Ryan Gerard1%
Doug Ghim1%
Max Greyserman1%
Nicolai Hojgaard1%
Si Woo Kim1%
Tom Kim1%
Kurt Kitayama1%
Jake Knapp1%
Min Woo Lee1%
Hao-Tong Li1%
Shane Lowry1%
Alexander Noren1%
Zach Bauchou0%
Dan Bradbury0%
Daniel Brown0%
Brian Campbell0%
Laurie Canter0%
Ricky Castillo0%
Seungbin Choi0%
Corey Conners0%
Martin Couvra0%
Cam Davis0%
Alejandro Del Ray0%
Hendrik Du Plessis0%
Nicolas Echavarria0%
Nacho Elvira0%
Ewen Ferguson0%
Grant Forrest0%
Dylan Frittelli0%
Julien Guerrier0%
Jordan Gumberg0%
Harry Hall0%
Brian Harman0%
Pádraig Harrington0%
Angel Hidalgo0%
Joe Highsmith0%
Calum Hill0%
Daniel Hillier0%
Charley Hoffman0%
Rasmus Hojgaard0%
Billy Horschel0%
Rikuya Hoshino0%
Mark Hubbard0%
Sung-Jae Im0%
Scott Jamieson0%
Casey Jarvis0%
Ryggs Johnston0%
Kota Yuta Kaneko0%
Yuto Katsuragawa0%
Johnny Keefer0%
Baekjun Kim0%
Michael Kim0%
Chris Kirk0%
Brooks Koepka0%
Jacques Kruyswijk0%
Frederic Lacroix0%
Joakim Lagergren0%
Pablo Larrazábal0%
Thriston Lawrence0%
Junghwan Lee0%
Mikael Lindberg0%
Joost Luiten0%
Matteo Manassero0%
Richard Mansell0%
Matt McCarty0%
Tom McKibbin0%
Mac Meissner0%
Adrian Meronk0%
Guido Migliozzi0%
Francesco Molinari0%
Taylor Moore0%
Dylan Naidoo0%
Keita Nakajima0%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen0%
Niklas Norgaard Moller0%
Shaun Norris0%
Andrew Novak0%
Tae-Hoon Ok0%
Thorbjorn Olesen0%
Adrián Otaegui0%
John Parry0%
Matthieu Pavon0%
Player 00%
Player 10%
Player 20%
Player 30%
Player 40%
Player 50%
Player 60%
Player 70%
Player 80%
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Player 100%
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Player 120%
Player 130%
Player 140%
Player 150%
Player 160%
Player 170%
Player 180%
Player 190%
Other0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 9% YES probability for PGA Tour: Genesis Scottish Open Winner. This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Genesis Scottish Open tournament b…

Methodology

This overview of PGA Tour: Genesis Scottish Open Winner reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Is Polymarket legal in my country?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Is Kalshi Legit has a different geo footprint.
How are winnings taxed?
Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
What happens during a tax audit?
You're responsible for documenting your trades. Is Kalshi Legit exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
Are prediction markets gambling?
Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
Priya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi AnalystandAlex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market Analyst

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