Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% Natus Vincere | 100% HULIGANI |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5) | 0% Natus Vincere | 100% HULIGANI |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 91% YES | 10% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 95% YES | 5% NO |
Market context
The underlying event is a Lower Bracket quarterfinal 2 Dota 2 match between Natus Vincere and HULIGANI at the The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for 7:00 AM ET on June 27. Natus Vincere, ranked #10 globally with two wins in their last five matches, faces HULIGANI after a challenging 2-0 victory over MOUZ in the previous round[1][2]. The crowd-implied 60% YES probability for Natus Vincere aligns with their historical resilience in tight qualifiers, though recent performances show vulnerability despite clean scores[2]. Comparable cases from TI regional qualifiers reveal that lower-ranked teams often overcome momentum shifts when facing top-tier opponents, framing the current probability as cautious rather than definitive[4].
Traders should monitor official schedule updates and any player availability announcements, as delays beyond seven days without a winner trigger a 50-50 resolution[1]. Recent news from Strafe Esports confirms the match timing but notes potential streaming dependencies that could affect live data accuracy[1]. Regulatory frameworks like Germany’s GlüStV and US CFTC reach influence market accessibility, particularly for “no-KYC up to $1,500” provisions, which allow broader participation without identity verification[1]. These rules ensure compliance while maintaining accessibility for traders in regulated jurisdictions, though legal interpretations vary by region.
Methodology
This page reviews Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The Intern… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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