Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Infinite (-3.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+3.5) | 100% Infinite | 0% Betclic Apogee Esports |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% Infinite | 0% Betclic Apogee Esports |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% Infinite | 0% Betclic Apogee Esports |
| Map Handicap: BCA (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5) | 0% Betclic Apogee Esports | 100% Infinite |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Infinite (-6.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+6.5) | 0% Infinite | 100% Betclic Apogee Esports |
Market context
The underlying event is the Counter-Strike lower bracket final between Infinite and Betclic Apogee Esports in Super DraculaN Group B, scheduled for 25 June at 2:00 PM ET. This match determines whether the market resolves to "Infinite" or "Betclic Apogee Esports", with a 50-50 split if the contest is cancelled, tied, or delayed beyond seven days without a winner.
Historical precedents in regulated esports betting, such as the German GlüStV framework and US CFTC enforcement, show that markets with zero crowd-implied probability often reflect structural barriers rather than pure performance doubts. The "no-KYC up to $1,500" provision significantly enhances accessibility for this specific market, allowing traders to bypass identity verification while remaining within legal thresholds, a feature that has driven volume in comparable jurisdictions where anonymity is permitted under strict monetary caps.
Traders should monitor official roster announcements from Betclic Apogee, as their 2026 lineup remains volatile following tabseN’s recent rejection of top-tier offers [4]. Schedule dependencies hinge on the Draculan Playoffs progression, with Flashscore confirming the match date as 25 June [7]. Any delay beyond the seven-day window or cancellation would trigger the 50-50 resolution, a catalyst that has previously invalidated similar lower bracket fixtures in Polish Counter-Strike events [3].
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Betclic Apogee Esports (… on PolyGram
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