Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 50% Game Hunters | 50% Vexa |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% Game Hunters | 0% Vexa |
| Match Winner | 100% Game Hunters | 0% Vexa |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: GH (-1.5) vs Vexa (+1.5) | 0% Game Hunters | 100% Vexa |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
Market context
This market hinges on the first-round Counter-Strike match between Game Hunters and Vexa, scheduled for 16:00 UTC on 27 June 2026 within the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage. The event is a Best of 3 series where the winner of the initial round determines the market outcome, with a 50% crowd-implied probability suggesting an evenly contested fixture[2][6].
Historical precedents in B-Tier Valve Tier 2 tournaments, such as CCT Season 3 South American Series #5, demonstrate that early-stage group matches often yield volatile results due to unproven team form and roster instability[3]. Comparable cases like Game Hunters’ previous encounter against Messitas in Series #1 highlight how initial 3-0 expectations can quickly shift, framing the current 50% probability as a rational reflection of this inherent unpredictability rather than a definitive edge[1].
Traders must monitor official schedule confirmations and any last-minute roster announcements, as dependencies on player availability frequently alter match dynamics in online South American CS2 events[4]. Recent coverage from GosuGamers confirms the live score tracking for this specific GH versus ex-Vexa matchup, serving as a critical source for real-time verification of team participation[4]. Regulatory frameworks like the German GlüStV and US CFTC reach impose strict KYC thresholds, yet the "no-KYC up to $1,500" provision significantly enhances accessibility for this market, allowing smaller participants to engage without immediate identity verification hurdles while maintaining compliance with broader legal standards.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Vexa (BO3) - CCT Sou… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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