Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 0% Acend | 100% ECHO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% Acend | 0% ECHO |
| Match Winner | 100% Acend | 0% ECHO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
The underlying event is the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between Acend and ECHO in the Super DraculaN Playoffs, set for 11:00 AM ET on 27 June 2026, where Acend (ranked 59) faces ECHO (ranked 66) in a Best-of-3 series[1][2].
Historically, prediction markets with 0% crowd-implied probability for a team often reflect extreme confidence in the opponent or a lack of liquidity rather than an impossible outcome, as seen in prior Liquipedia-verified Bo3 tournaments where low-ranked teams occasionally overturned odds before the Grand Final[3]. Comparable cases in esports show that even when one side dominates pre-match rankings, in-game variables like map pool selection—still unconfirmed here—can shift outcomes, making absolute zero probabilities rare in settled markets[1].
Traders should monitor official announcements from AcendClub regarding roster readiness and map pool disclosures, as the team recently confirmed their entry into Bulgaria’s top bracket and noted this as a critical test for the roster[5]. Key dependencies include the match start time confirmation on Sofascore and any schedule changes linked to the DraculaN Playoffs bracket, with recent updates indicating the match begins at 15:00 UTC[2]. Regulatory frameworks like Germany’s GlüStV and US CFTC reach influence accessibility, while ‘no-KYC up to $1,500’ allows traders to participate without identity verification, enhancing market entry for this specific event[1].
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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