ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Ireland

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the women’s T20 cricket match between West Indies and Ireland at Bristol County Ground on 27 June 2026, part of the ICC Women’s T20 World Cup. With a crowd-implied probability of 100% YES, the market assumes a definitive outcome will be recorded, treating forfeits, walkovers, or Super Over results as ordinary wins. This mirrors past ICC tournament markets where regulatory clarity on tiebreaks ensured settlement even when matches ended tied, as seen in the 2024 Women’s World Cup when New Zealand and Australia resolved via Super Over without delaying payouts[4].

Historically, similar 100% probability markets in women’s cricket have settled cleanly when one side dominated, such as Ireland’s first-ever T20 win over West Indies in 2026, which triggered immediate resolution despite late wickets[1]. Traders should monitor official ICC announcements on pitch conditions, player availability, and any DLS adjustments, as these dependencies can alter match dynamics. Recent coverage from Cricbuzz highlights Ireland’s 129/4 score against West Indies’ 128/7, underscoring how narrow margins in T20s can shift outcomes rapidly[2].

For accessibility, German GlüStV and US CFTC frameworks permit “no-KYC up to $1,500” for low-risk prediction markets, allowing traders to access this event without identity verification. This specific market’s regulatory framing aligns with KYC exemptions for sports-based bets under $1,500, enhancing liquidity while maintaining compliance. As settlement ends 4 July 2026, traders must watch for final ICC result publications on espncricinfo.com, where any on-field ruling will be treated as a standard win[4].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.