About the author
Marc Jakob is Senior Editor at PolyGram, focused on prediction markets, crypto order flow, and the mechanics of decentralised settlement systems. Since 2018 he has analysed how Polymarket, Kalshi and Betfair Exchange translate probability estimates into live order-book quotes.
His coverage spans market structure (CLOB vs. AMM design), on-chain resolution via the UMA Optimistic Oracle, and the evolving regulatory landscape for prediction-market platforms in the EU and US. Marc has published on conditional-token architectures, liquidity fragmentation, and cross-platform arbitrage.
Before PolyGram, Marc worked as a quant analyst at a Frankfurt buy-side desk and wrote about DeFi structures for English-language crypto publications.
Areas of expertise
Prediction MarketsPolymarketOn-Chain SettlementUSDCPolygonMarket StructureDeFi
Recent articles by Marc Jakob
Polymarket vs Betfair: Which is Better for Prediction Markets?
1 April 2026Polymarket vs Betfair
Polymarket Crypto Prediction Markets: Trading Bitcoin and Ethereum Outcomes
1 April 2026Polymarket crypto prediction markets
Prediction Market Strategies: How to Profit in 2026
28 April 2026prediction market strategies
Prediction Markets vs Sports Betting: Key Differences
28 April 2026prediction markets vs sports betting
Prediction Market API: Build Your Own Trading Bot
28 April 2026prediction market API
Election Prediction Markets: How They Work in 2026
28 April 2026election prediction markets
Polymarket Fees: Complete Breakdown for 2026
1 May 2026Polymarket fees
Prediction Markets vs Polls: Which Is More Accurate?
1 May 2026prediction markets vs polls
Crypto Futures vs Prediction Markets: Key Differences
1 May 2026crypto futures vs prediction markets
Kelly Criterion for Prediction Markets: Size Your Bets
1 May 2026Kelly criterion prediction markets
Will Bitcoin Hit $100K? Prediction Market Analysis
1 May 2026Bitcoin 100K prediction
Prediction Markets for Beginners: Start Trading in 5 Minutes
1 May 2026prediction markets for beginners
Polymarket Banned Countries: Where You Can and Can't Trade
1 May 2026Polymarket banned countries
How AI Is Changing Prediction Markets in 2026
1 May 2026AI prediction markets
What Is a Prediction Market? The Complete 2026 Guide
1 May 2026what is a prediction market
Prediction Markets vs Sports Betting: Key Differences & Which Wins
1 May 2026prediction market vs sports betting
Will Bitcoin Hit $100K in 2026? Prediction Market Odds Analyzed
1 May 2026will bitcoin hit 100k 2026
NFL 2026 Prediction Markets: Super Bowl LXI Odds & Season Guide
1 May 2026NFL prediction markets 2026
Best Sports Prediction Market App 2026: Trade NFL, NBA, Soccer & More
1 May 2026sports prediction market app
Prediction Markets for UK Traders 2026: Legal Status, Best Platforms & How to Start
1 May 2026prediction markets UK
Manifold Markets Alternative 2026: Why PolyGram Offers Real Money Trading
1 May 2026manifold markets alternative
FIFA World Cup 2026 Prediction Markets: Winner Odds, Group Stage & More
1 May 2026FIFA World Cup 2026 prediction market
How CLOB Works in Prediction Markets: Central Limit Order Book Explained
1 May 2026CLOB prediction market
Prediction Market Liquidity: Why It Matters and How to Find Deep Markets
1 May 2026prediction market liquidity
Polygon & USDC in Prediction Markets: Fast, Cheap, and Reliable Settlement
1 May 2026polygon USDC prediction market
Golf Major Prediction Markets 2026: Masters, US Open & The Open Champion Odds
1 May 2026golf prediction market 2026
SEC Crypto Ruling Prediction Markets: Bitcoin ETF, Ethereum Status & More
1 May 2026SEC crypto prediction market
10 Prediction Market Mistakes Beginners Make (And How to Avoid Them)
2 May 2026prediction market beginner mistakes
Cricket Prediction Markets 2026: ICC Events, Ashes & T20 World Cup Odds
2 May 2026cricket prediction market 2026
Real Estate Prediction Markets 2026: US Housing Prices & Market Crash Odds
2 May 2026real estate prediction market 2026
Polymarket App for Mobile 2026: PolyGram as the Native Telegram Alternative
2 May 2026polymarket app mobile
Building a Prediction Market Portfolio: Diversification & Risk Strategy 2026
2 May 2026prediction market portfolio strategy
2028 Presidential Election Prediction Markets: Early Republican & Democratic Odds
2 May 20262028 presidential election prediction market
Is Polymarket Legit? Safety, Security & Legitimacy in 2026
2 May 2026is polymarket legit
World Series 2026 Prediction Markets: MLB Championship & Playoff Odds
2 May 2026World Series 2026 prediction market
Prediction Market Psychology: 7 Cognitive Biases That Cost You Money
2 May 2026prediction market psychology biases
Prediction Markets on Your Phone: PolyGram Telegram Mini App Full Review
2 May 2026prediction market phone app telegram
Bitcoin Halving Impact Prediction Markets: Post-Halving Price Cycle Odds
2 May 2026bitcoin halving prediction market
The Ultimate Prediction Market Guide 2026: Everything You Need to Start
2 May 2026prediction market guide 2026
Olympics & Athletics Prediction Markets 2026-2028: Track, Field & Medal Odds
2 May 2026olympics prediction market 2028
Premier League Prediction Markets 2026: Title Race, Relegation & Top Scorer
2 May 2026premier league prediction market 2026
NBA Finals 2026 Prediction Markets: Who Wins the Championship? Live Odds
2 May 2026NBA Finals prediction market 2026
Autonomous Vehicle & Robotaxi Prediction Markets 2026: Tesla, Waymo & Level 5 Odds
2 May 2026autonomous vehicle prediction market 2026
Who Will Win the 2026 World Cup? Prediction Market Odds & Analysis
24 May 2026who will win world cup 2026
Polymarket Deposit UK 2026: Klarna, USDC & Debit Card Methods
9 June 2026polymarket deposit uk klarna
Polymarket KYC UK: Do You Need to Verify Your Identity? 2026 Guide
9 June 2026polymarket kyc uk
Best Prediction Markets 2026: Full Platform Comparison
9 June 2026best prediction markets 2026
Who Will Win in 2026? Prediction Market Odds for Every Major Event
9 June 2026who will win 2026
Prediction Markets vs Sports Betting: Key Differences Explained
9 June 2026prediction markets vs sports betting
Trump Prediction Market 2026: Live Odds & Probability Tracker
9 June 2026trump prediction market 2026 odds
Sport Prediction Bet: Best Football & Sports Markets 2026
9 June 2026sport prediction bet football
Polymarket Trading Bots & Automation: UK Guide 2026
9 June 2026polymarket trading bot
What Is a Prediction Market? Complete UK Beginner's Guide
9 June 2026what is a prediction market
Who Will Win in 2026? Prediction Market Odds for Every Major Event
9 June 2026who will win 2026
Polymarket Alternative 2026: Which Platform Should You Use?
9 June 2026polymarket alternative 2026
Who Will Win Champions League 2026? Live Prediction Odds
9 June 2026who will win champions league 2026
Polymarket Withdrawal Guide UK: How Long + Methods 2026
10 June 2026
Polymarket Fees UK 2026: Complete Breakdown (Gas, Withdrawal, Trading)
10 June 2026
NBA Finals 2026 Prediction Market: Live Odds & How to Trade
10 June 2026
